Monthly Archives: January 2015

Case Study: One Site’s Recovery from an Ugly SEO Mess

Google Panda Site Recovery

Posted by AlanBleiweiss

This past March, I was contacted by a prospective client:

My site has been up since 2004. I had good traffic growth up to 2012 (doubling each year to around a million page views a month), then suffered a 40% drop in mid Feb 2012. I've been working on everything that I can think of since, but the traffic has never recovered.

Since my primary business is performing strategic site audits, this is something I hear often. Site appears to be doing quite well, then gets slammed. Site owner struggles for years to fix it, but repeatedly comes up empty.

It can be devastating when that happens. And now more than ever, site owners need real solutions to serious problems.

As this chart shows, when separating out the "expected" roller coaster effect, Google organic traffic took a nose-dive in early February of 2012.

First step: check and correlate with known updates

When this happens, the first thing I do is jump to Moz's Google Algorithm Change History charts to see if I can pinpoint a known Google update that correlates to a drop.

Except in this case, there was no direct "same day" update listed.

A week before, there's an entry listed that references integrating Panda into the main index more, however discussion around that is this change happened sometime in January. So maybe it's Panda, maybe it's not.

Expand your timeline: look for other hits

At this point, I expanded the timeline view to see if I could spot other specific drops and possibly associate them to known updates. I did this because some sites that get hit once, get hit again and again.

Google Organic Historic Visit View

Well now we have a complete mess.

At this point, if you're up for the challenge, you can take the time to carefully review all the ups and downs manually, comparing drops to Moz's change history.

Personally, when I see something this ugly, I prefer to use the Panguin Tool. It allows you to see this timeline with a "known update" overlay for various Google updates. Saves a lot of time. So that's what I did.

Panguin Tool Historic View

Well okay this is an ugly mess as well. If you think you can pin enough of the drops on specific factors, that's great.

What I like about the Panguin Tool is you can "turn off" or "hide" different update types to try and look for a consistent issue type. Alternately, you can zoom in to look at individual updates and see if they align with a specific, clear drop in traffic.

Zoomed In Panguin Evaluation

Looking at this chart, it's pretty clear the site saw a second dropoff beginning with Panda 3.3. The next dropoff aligned with updates appears to be Panda 3.4, however it was already in a slide after Panda 3.3 so we can't be certain of this one.

Multiple other updates took place after that where there may or may not have been some impact, followed by further cascading downward.

Then, in the midst of THAT dropoff, we see a Penguin update that also MAY or MAY NOT have played into the problem.

The ambiguous reality

This is a great time to bring up the fact that one of the biggest challenges we face in dealing with SEO is the ambiguous nature of what takes place. We can't always, with true certainty, know whether a site has been hit by any single algorithm change.

In between all the known updates, Google is constantly making adjustments.

The other factor here is that when a given update takes place, it doesn't always roll out instantly, nor is every site reprocessed against that latest change right away.

The cascading impact effect

Here's where evaluating things becomes even more of a mess.

When an algorithm update takes place, it may be days or even weeks before a site sees the impact of that, if at all. And once it does, whatever changes to the overall status of a site come along due to any single algorithm shift, other algorithms are sometimes going to then base formulaic decisions on that new status of a site.

So if a site becomes weaker due to a given algorithm change, even if the drop is minimal or non-observant, it can still suffer further losses due to that weakened state.

I refer to this as the "cascading impact" effect.

The right solution to cascading impact losses

Okay so lets say you're dealing with a site that appears to have been hit by multiple algorithm updates. Maybe some of them are Panda, maybe others aren't Panda.

The only correct approach in this scenario is to step back and understand that for maximum sustainable improvement, you need to consider every aspect of SEO. Heck, even if a site was ONLY hit by Panda, or Penguin, or the "Above the Fold" algorithm, I always approach my audits with this mindset. It's the only way to ensure that a site becomes more resilient to future updates of any type.

And when you approach it this way, because you're looking at the "across-the-board" considerations, you're much more likely to address the actual issues that you can associate with any single algorithm.

The QUART mindset

It was at this point where I began to do my work.

A couple years ago, I coined the acronym QUART—what I call the five super-signals of SEO:

  • Quality
  • Uniqueness
  • Authority
  • Relevance
  • Trust

With every single factor across the full spectrum of signals in SEO, I apply the QUART* test. Any single signal needs to score high in at least three of the five super-signals.

Whether it's a speed issue, a crawl efficiency issue, topical focus, supporting signals on-site or off-site, whatever it is, if that signal does not score well with quality, uniqueness or relevance, it leaves that page, that section of a site, or that site as a whole vulnerable to algorithmic hits.

If you get those three strong enough, that signal will, over time, earn authority and trust score value as well.

If you are really strong with relevance with any single page or section of the site, but weak in quality or uniqueness, you can still do well in SEO if the overall site is over-the-top with authority and trust.

*When I first came up with this acronym, I had the sequence of letters as QURTA, since quality, uniqueness, and relevance are, in my opinion, the true ideal target above all else. New sites don't have authority or trust, yet they can be perfectly good, valuable sites if they hit those three. Except Jen Lopez suggested that if I shift the letters for the acronym, it would make it a much easier concept for people to remember. Thanks Jen!

A frustratingly true example

Lets say you have one single page of content. It's only "okay" or may even be "dismal" in regard to quality and uniqueness. Even if you do, and if the site's overall authority and trust are strong enough, you can outrank an entire site devoted to that specific topic.

This happens all the time with sites like Wikipedia, or Yahoo Answers.

Don't you hate that? Yeah, I know—Yahoo Answers? Trust? Ha!

Sadly, some sites have, over time, built so much visibility, brand recognition, and trust for enough of their content, that they can seemingly get away with SEO murder.

It's frustrating to see. Yet the foundational concept as to WHY that happens is understandable if you apply the QUART test.

Spot mobile site issues

One challenge this site has is that there's also a separate mobile subdomain. Looking at the Google traffic for that shows similar problems, beginning back in February of 2012.

Mobile Site Historic Google Traffic

Note that for the most part, the mobile site suffered from that same major initial hit and subsequent downslide. The one big exception was a technical issue unique to the mobile site at the end of 2012 / beginning of 2013.

Identify and address priority issues

Understanding the QUART concept, and having been doing this work for years, I dove head-first into the audit.

Page processing and crawl efficiency

Before and after Page Speeds
NOTE: This is an educational site – so all "educational page" labels refer to
different primary pages on the site.

For my audits, I rely upon Google Analytics Page Timings data, URIValet.com 1.5 mbps data, and also WebPageTest.org (testing from different server locations and at different speeds including DSL, Cable and Mobile).

Speed improvement goals

Whenever I present audit findings to a client, I explain "Here's the ideal goal for this issue, yet I don't expect you to hit the ideal goal, only that you do your best to make improvements without becoming bogged down in this one issue."

For this site, since not every single page had crisis speed problems, I was looking to have the site owner at least get to a point of better, more consistent stability. So while there's still room for vast improvement, the work performed went quite far in the right direction.

Speed issues addressed: domain and process calls

The first issue tackled was the fact that at the template level, the various pages on the site were calling several different processes across several different domains.

A great resource to use for generating lists of what third party processes individual pages use that I rely upon is a report in the WebPageTest.org results. It lists every domain called for the page tested, along with total processes called from those, and gives separate data on the total file sizes across each.

Reducing the number of times a page has to call a third party domain, and the number of times an individual process needs to be run is often a way to help speed up functionality.

Improving third partry domain requests

In the case of this site, several processes were eliminated:

  • Google APIs
  • Google Themes
  • Google User Content
  • Clicktale
  • Gstatic
  • RackCDN

By eliminating functionality that was dependent upon third party servers meant less DNS lookups, and less dependance upon connections to other servers somewhere else on the web.

Typical service drains can often come from ad blocks (serving too many ads from too many different ad networks is a frequent speed drain culprit), social sharing widgets, third party font generation, and countless other shiny object services.

Clean code

Yeah, I know—you don't have to have 100% validated code for SEO. Except what I've found through years of this work, is that the more errors you have in your markup, the more likely there will be potential for processing delays, and beyond that, the more likely search algorithms will become confused.

And even if you can't prove in a given site that cleaner code is a significant speed improvement point, it's still a best practice, which is what I live for. So it's always included in my audit evaluation process.

HTML Markup Improvements

Improve process efficiency

Next up on the list was the range of issues all too many sites have these days regarding efficiency within a site's own content. Tools to help here include Google Webmaster Tools, Google Page Speed Insights, and again WebPageTest.org among others.

Issues I'm talking about here include above-the-fold render-blocking JavaScript and CSS, lack of browser caching, lack of compression of static content, server response times, a host of code-bloat considerations, too-big image sizes, and the list goes on...

Google Page Speed Insights Grades
NOTE: This is an educational site – so all "educational page" labels refer to
different primary pages on the site.

Note: Google Page Speed Insights recommendations and WebPageTest.org's grade reports only offer partial insight. What they do offer however, can help you go a long way to making speed improvements.

Also, other speed reporting tools abound, to differing degrees of value, accuracy and help. The most important factor to me is to not rely on any single resource, and do your own extensive testing. Ultimately, enough effort in research and testing needs to be performed with followup checking to ensure you address the real issues on a big enough scale to make a difference. Just glossing over things or only hitting the most obvious problems is not always going to get you real long-term sustainable results...

Correct crawl inefficiency

Another common problem I find is where a site evolves over time, many of the URLs change. When this happens, site owners don't properly clean up their own internal links to those pages. The end result is a weakening of crawl efficiency and then user experience quality and trust signals.

Remember that Google and Bing are, in fact, users of your site. Whether you want to admit it or not. So if they're crawling the site and run into too many internal redirects (or heaven forbid redirect loops), or dead ends, that's going to make their systems wary to want to bother continuing the crawl. And abandoning the crawl because of that is not helpful by any stretch of the imagination.

It also confuses algorithms.

To that end, I like to crawl a sampling of a site's total internal links using Screaming Frog. That tool gives me many different insights, only one of which happens to be internal link problems. Yet it's invaluable to know. And if I find enough of a percentage of that sample crawl URLs are redirecting or dead ends, that needs to get fixed.

Eliminate crawl inefficiency

Note: for reference sake, the total number of pages on the entire site is less than 5,000. So that's a lot of internal inefficiency for that size site...

Don't ignore external links

While having link redirects and dead ends pointing to outside sources isn't ideal, it's less harmful most of the time than internal redirects and dead ends. Except when it's not.

In this case, the site had previously been under a different domain name prior to a rebranding effort. And after the migration, it resulted in some ugly redirect loops involving the old domain!

Redirect Loop

Topical focus evaluation

At this point, the audit moved from the truly technical issues to the truly content related issues. Of course, since it's algorithms that do the work to "figure it all out," even content issues are "technical" in nature. Yet that's a completely different rant. So let's just move on to the list of issues identified that we can associate with content evaluation.

Improve H1 and H2 headline tags

Yeah, I know—some of you think these are irrelevant. They're really not. They are one more contributing factor when search engines look to multiple signals for understanding the unique topic of a given page.

Noindex large volume of "thin" content pages

Typical scenario here: a lot of pages that have very little to no actual "unique" content—at least not enough crawlable content to justify their earning high rankings for their unique focus. Be aware—this doesn't just include the content within the main "content" area of a page. If it's surrounded (as was the case on this site) by blocks of content common to other pages, or if the main navigation or footer navigation are bloated with too many links (and surrounding words in the code), and if you offer too many shiny object widgets (as this site had), that "unique" content evaluation is going to become strained (as it did for this site).

Add robust crawlable relevant content to video pages

You can have the greatest videos on the planet on your site. And yet, if you're not a CNN, or some other truly well established high authority site, you are almost always going to need to add high quality, truly relevant content to pages that have those videos. So that was done here.

And I'm not just talking about "filler" content. In this case (as it always should be) the new content was well written and supportive of the content in the videos.

Eliminate "shiny object" "generic" content that was causing duplicate content / topical dilution confusion across the site

On pages that were worth salvaging but where there was thin content, I never recommend throwing those out. Instead, take the time to add more value content, yes. But also, consider eliminating some of those shiny objects. For this site, the reduction of those vastly improved the uniqueness of those pages.

Improve hierarchical URL content funnels reducing the "flat" nature of content

Flat architecture is an SEO myth. Want to know how I know this? I read it on the Internet, that's how!

The Flat Architecture Myth

Oh wait. That was ME who said it.

Seriously though. If all your content looks like www.domain.com/category and www.domain.com/category and www.domain.com/category that's flat architecture.

It claims "every one of these pages is as important as every other page on my site.

And that's a fantasy.

It also severely harms your need to communicate "here's all the content specific to this category, or this sub-category". And THAT harms your need to say "hey, this site is robust with content about this broad topic".

So please. Stop with the flat architecture.

And no, this is NOT just for search engines. Users who see proper URL funnels can rapidly get a cue as to where they are on the site (or as they look at that in the search results, more confidence about trust factors).

So for this site, reorganization of content was called for and implemented.

Add site-wide breadcrumb navigation

Yes—breadcrumbs are helpful. because they reinforce topical focus, content organization, and improvements to user experience.

So these were added. Noindex,nofollowed over 1,300 "orphaned" pages

Pop-up windows. They're great for sharing additional information to site visitors. Except when you allow those to become indexable by search engines. Then all of asudden, you've got countless random pages that, on their own, have no meaning, no usability, and no way to communicate "this is how this page relates to all these other pages over there". They're an SEO signal killer. So we lopped them out of the mix with a machete.

Sometimes you may want to keep them indexable. If you do, they need full site navigation and branding, and proper URL hierarchical designations. So pay attention to whether it's worth it to do that or not.

Remove UX confusing widget functionality

One particular widget on the site was confusing from a UX perspective. This particular issue had as much to do with site trust and overall usability as anything, and less to do with pure SEO. Except it caused some speed delays, needless site-jumping, repetition of effort and a serious weakening of brand trust. And those definitely impact SEO, so it was eliminated.

Noindex internal site "search" results pages

Duplicate content. Eliminated. 'nuff said?

Eliminate multiple category assignments for blog articles

More duplicate content issues. Sometimes you can keep these, however if multiple category assignments get out of hand, it really IS a duplicate content problem. So in this case, we resolved that.

Unify brand identity across pages from old branding that had been migrated

Old brand, new brand—both were intermingled after the site migration I previously described. Some of it was a direct SEO issue (old brand name in many page titles, in various on-site links and content) and some was purely a UX trust factor.

Unify main navigation across pages from old branded version that had been migrated

Again, this was a migration issue gone wrong. Half the site had consistent top navigation based on the new design, and half had imported the old main navigation. An ugly UX, crawl and topical understanding nightmare.

Add missing meta descriptions

Some of the bizarre auto-generated meta descriptions Google had been presenting on various searches was downright ugly. Killed that click-block dead by adding meta descriptions to over 1,000 pages.

Remove extremely over-optimized meta keywords tag

Not a problem you say? Ask Duane Forrester. He'll confirm—it's one of many signal points they use to seek out potential over-optimization. So why risk leaving them there?

About inbound links

While I found some toxic inbound links in the profile, there weren't many on this site. Most of those actually disappeared on their own thanks to all the other wars that continue to rage in the penguin arena. So for this site, no major effort has yet gone into cleaning up the small number that remain.

Results

Okay so what did all of this do in regard to the recovery I mention in the title? You tell me.

And here's just a small fraction of the top phrase ranking changes:

Ranking Improvements After Audit

Next steps

While the above charts show quite serious improvements since the implementation was started, there's more work that remains.

Google Ad Scripts continue to be a big problem. Errors at the code level and processing delays abound. It's an ongoing issue many site owners struggle with. Heck—just eliminating Google's own ad server tracking code has given some of my clients as much as one to three seconds overall page processing improvement depending on the number of ad blocks as well as intermittent problems on Googles ad server network.

Except at a certain point, ads are the life-blood of site owners. So that's a pain-point we may not be able to resolve.

Other third party processes come with similar problems. Sometimes third party "solution" providers are helpful to want to improve their offerings, however the typical answer to "your widget is killing my site" is "blah blah blah not our fault blah blah blah" when I know for a fact from countless tests, that it is.

So in this case, the client is doing what they can elsewhere for now. And ultimately, if need be, will abandon at least some of those third parties entirely if they can get a quality replacement.

And content improvements—there's always more to do on that issue.

Bottom line

This is just one site, in one niche market. The work has been and continues to be extensive. It is, however, quite typical of many sites that suffer from a range of issues, not all of which can be pinned to Panda. Yet where ignoring issues you THINK might not be Panda specific is a dangerous game, especially now in 2015, where it's only going to get uglier out there...

So do the right thing for the site owner / your employer / your client / your affiliate site revenue...


Sign up for The Moz Top 10, a semimonthly mailer updating you on the top ten hottest pieces of SEO news, tips, and rad links uncovered by the Moz team. Think of it as your exclusive digest of stuff you don't have time to hunt down but want to read!

By |January 7th, 2015|MOZ|0 Comments

This super secure Android smartphone is built into a watch

Goldkey2
Feed-fb

LAS VEGAS — While the market is already saturated with smartwatches — and will become even more so later this year with new products, including the Apple Watch — most are just Bluetooth devices, connecting the watch with a smartphone.

But a new product announced by GoldKey at the 2015 International CES is a standalone smartphone that allows users to make and receive phone calls and install Android apps directly on the watch face

Called the ...

More about Mobile, Apps, Android, Ces, and Tech

By |January 6th, 2015|Apps and Software|0 Comments

You’ll soon be able to buy Dell’s fancy 34-inch curved monitor

Dell-thumb
Feed-fb

Whether you're on board with curved screens or not, they keep cropping up again and again.

Dell revealed at CES on Tuesday that its UltraSharp 34 monitor, which the company previewed back in August, will be up for purchase on Dell.com starting Thursday in the U.S. For a pretty price of $1,199.99, that is.

The 34-inch screen has a 21:9 aspect ratio, the "ideal size for a curved monitor," according to Dell — and the exact same size of LG's. More companies (including Samsung and Sony) have jumped onto the curved monitor race, too.

The Dell monitor has 3440x1440 resolution and comes with all the normal bells and whistles one expects from monitors: HDMI ports, 9-watt speakers and "virtually borderless cockpit view across multiple screens thanks to its ultra-thin bezels," which are the physical frames that surround the display. ...

More about Dell, Ces, Tech, Apps Software, and Gadgets

By |January 6th, 2015|Apps and Software|0 Comments

10 Predictions for the Marketing World in 2015

Posted by randfish

The beginning of the year marks the traditional week for bloggers to prognosticate about the 12 months ahead, and, over the last decade I've created a tradition of joining in this festive custom to predict the big trends in SEO and web marketing. However, I divine the future by a strict code: I'm only allowed to make predictions IF my predictions from last year were at least moderately accurate (otherwise, why should you listen to me?). So, before I being my crystal-ball-gazing, let's have a look at how I did for 2014.

Yes, we'll get to that, but not until you prove you're a real Wizard, mustache-man.

You can find my post from January 5th of last year here, but I won't force you to read through it. Here's how I do grading:

  • Spot On (+2) - when a prediction hits the nail on the head and the primary criteria are fulfilled
  • Partially Accurate (+1) - predictions that are in the area, but are somewhat different than reality
  • Not Completely Wrong (-1) - those that landed near the truth, but couldn't be called "correct" in any real sense
  • Off the Mark (-2) - guesses which didn't come close

If the score is positive, prepare for more predictions, and if it's negative, I'm clearly losing the pulse of the industry. Let's tally up the numbers.

In 2014, I made 6 predictions:

#1: Twitter will go Facebook's route and create insights-style pages for at least some non-advertising accounts

Grade: +2

Twitter rolled out Twitter analytics for all users this year (starting in July for some accounts, and then in August for everyone), and while it's not nearly as full-featured as Facebook's "Insights" pages, it's definitely in line with the spirit of this prediction.

#2: We will see Google test search results with no external, organic listings

Grade: -2

I'm very happy to be wrong about this one. To my knowledge, Google has yet to go this direction and completely eliminate external-pointing links on search results pages. Let's hope they never do.

That said, there are plenty of SERPs where Google is taking more and more of the traffic away from everyone but themselves, e.g.:

I think many SERPs that have basic, obvious functions like "timer" are going to be less and less valuable as traffic sources over time.

#3: Google will publicly acknowledge algorithmic updates targeting both guest posting and embeddable infographics/badges as manipulative linking practices

Grade: -1

Google most certainly did release an update (possibly several) targeted at guest posts, but they didn't publicly talk about something specifically algorithmic targeting emebedded content/badges. It's very possible this was included in the rolling Penguin updates, but the prediction said "publicly acknowledge" so I'm giving myself a -1.

#4: One of these 5 marketing automation companies will be purchased in the 9-10 figure $ range: Hubspot, Marketo, Act-On, Silverpop, or Sailthru

Grade: +2

Silverpop was purchased by IBM in April of 2014. While a price wasn't revealed, the "sources" quoted by the media estimated the deal in the ~$270mm range. I'm actually surprised there wasn't another sale, but this one was spot-on, so it gets the full +2.

#5: Resumes listing "content marketing" will grow faster than either SEO or "social media marketing"

Grade: +1

As a percentage, this certainly appears to be the case. Here's some stats:

  • US profiles with "content marketing"
    • June 2013: 30,145
    • January 2015: 68,580
    • Growth: 227.5%
  • US profiles with "SEO"
    • June 2013: 364,119
    • January 2015: 596,050
    • Growth: 163.7%
  • US profiles with "social media marketing"
    • June 2013: 938,951
    • January 2015: 1,990,677
    • Growth: 212%

Granted, content marketing appears on far fewer profiles than SEO or social media marketing, but it has seen greater growth. I'm only giving myself a +1 rather than a +2 on this because, while the prediction was mathematically correct, the numbers of SEO and social still dwarf content marketing as a term. In fact, in LinkedIn's annual year-end report of which skills got people hired the most, SEO was #5! Clearly, the term and the skillset continue to endure and be in high demand.

#6: There will be more traffic sent by Pinterest than Twitter in Q4 2014 (in the US)

Grade: +1

This is probably accurate, since Pinterest appears to have grown faster in 2014 than Twitter by a good amount AND this was already true in most of 2014 according to SharedCount (though I'm not totally sold on the methodology of coverage for their numbers). However, we won't know the truth for a few months to come, so I'd be presumptuous in giving a full +2. I am a bit surprised that Pinterest continues to grow at such a rapid pace -- certainly a very impressive feat for an established social network.


SOURCE: Global Web Index

With Twitter's expected moves into embedded video, it's my guess that we'll continue to see a lot more Twitter engagement and activity on Twitter itself, and referring traffic outward won't be as considerable a focus. Pinterest seems to be one of the only social networks that continues that push (as Facebook, Instagram, LinkedIn, and YouTube all seem to be pursuing a "keep them here" strategy).

--------------------------------

Final Score: +3

That positive number means I've passed my bar and can make another set of predictions for 2015. I'm going to be a little more aggressive this year, even though it risks ruining my sterling record, simply because I think it's more exciting :-)

Thus, here are my 10 predictions for what the marketing world will bring us in 2015:

#1: We'll see the first major not-for-profit University in the US offer a degree in Internet Marketing, including classes on SEO.

There are already some private, for-profit offerings from places like Fullsail and Univ. of Phoenix, but I don't know that these pedigrees carry much weight. Seeing a Stanford, a Wharton, or a University of Washington offer undergraduate or MBA programs in our field would be a boon to those seeking options and an equal boon to the universities.

The biggest reason I think we're ripe for this in 2015 is the LinkedIn top 25 job skills data showing the immense value of SEO (#5) and digital/online marketing (#16) in a profile when seeking a new job. That should (hopefully) be a direct barometer for what colleges seek to include in their repertoire.

#2: Google will continue the trend of providing instant answers in search results with more interactive tools.

Google has been doing instant answers for a long time, but in addition to queries with immediate and direct responses, they've also undercut a number of online tool vendors by building their own versions directly into the SERPs, like they do currently for queries like "timer" and "calculator."

I predict in 2015, we'll see more partnerships like what's provided with OpenTable and the ability to book reservations directly from the SERPs, possibly with companies like Uber, Flixster (they really need to get back to a better instant answer for movies+city), Zillow, or others that have unique data that could be surfaced directly.

#3: 2015 will be the year Facebook begins including some form of web content (not on Facebook's site) in their search functionality.

Facebook severed their search relationship with Bing in 2014, and I'm going to make a very risky prediction that in 2015, we'll see Facebook's new search emerge and use some form of non-Facebook web data. Whether they'll actually build their own crawler or merely license certain data from outside their properties is another matter, but I think Facebook's shown an interest in getting more sophisticated with their ad offerings, and any form of search data/history about their users would provide a powerful addition to what they can do today.

#4: Google's indexation of Twitter will grow dramatically, and a significantly higher percentage of tweets, hashtags, and profiles will be indexed by the year's end.

Twitter has been putting more muscle behind their indexation and SEO efforts, and I've seen more and more Twitter URLs creeping into the search results over the last 6 months. I think that trend continues, and in 2015, we see Twitter.com enter the top 5-6 "big domains" in Mozcast.

#5: The EU will take additional regulatory action against Google that will create new, substantive changes to the search results for European searchers.

In 2014, we saw the EU enforce the "right to be forgotten" and settle some antitrust issues that require Google to edit what it displays in the SERPs. I don't think the EU is done with Google. As the press has noted, there are plenty of calls in the European Parliament to break up the company, and while I think the EU will stop short of that measure, I believe we'll see additional regulatory action that affects search results.

On a personal opinion note, I would add that while I'm not thrilled with how the EU has gone about their regulation of Google, I am impressed by their ability to do so. In the US, with Google becoming the second largest lobbying spender in the country and a masterful influencer of politicians, I think it's extremely unlikely that they suffer any antitrust or regulatory action in their home country -- not because they haven't engaged in monopolistic behavior, but because they were smart enough to spend money to manipulate elected officials before that happened (unlike Microsoft, who, in the 1990's, assumed they wouldn't become a target).

Thus, if there is to be any hedge to Google's power in search, it will probably come from the EU and the EU alone. There's no competitor with the teeth or market share to have an impact (at least outside of China, Russia, and South Korea), and no other government is likely to take them on.

#6: Mobile search, mobile devices, SSL/http referrals, and apps will combine to make traffic source data increasingly hard to come by.

I'll estimate that by year's end, many major publishers will see 40%+ of their traffic coming from "direct" even though most of that is search and social referrers that fail to pass the proper referral string. Hopefully, we'll be able to verify that through folks like Define Media Group, whose data sharing this year has made them one of the best allies marketers have in understanding the landscape of web traffic patterns.

BTW - I'd already estimate that 30-50% of all "direct" traffic is, in fact, search or social traffic that hasn't been properly attributed. This is a huge challenge for web marketers -- maybe one of the greatest challenges we face, because saying "I brought in a lot more traffic, I just can't prove it or measure it," isn't going to get you nearly the buy-in, raises, or respect that your paid-traffic compatriots can earn by having every last visit they drive perfectly attributed.

#7: The content advertising/recommendation platforms will continue to consolidate, and either Taboola or Outbrain will be acquired or do some heavy acquiring themselves.

We just witnessed the surprising shutdown of nRelate, which I suspect had something to do with IAC politics more than just performance and potential for the company. But given that less than 2% of the web's largest sites use content recommendation/promotion services and yet both Outbrain and Taboola are expected to have pulled in north of $200m in 2014, this is a massive area for future growth.

Yahoo!, Facebook, and Google are all potential acquirers here, and I could even see AOL (who already own Gravity) or Buzzfeed making a play. Likewise, there's a slew of smaller/other players that Taboola or Outbrain themselves could acquire: Zemanta, Adblade, Zegnet, Nativo, Disqus, Gravity, etc. It's a marketplace as ripe for acquisition as it is for growth.

#8: Promoted pins will make Pinterest an emerging juggernaut in the social media and social advertising world, particularly for e-commerce.

I'd estimate we'll see figures north of $50m spent on promoted pins in 2015. This is coming after Pinterest only just opened their ad platform beyond a beta group this January. But, thanks to high engagement, lots of traffic, and a consumer base that B2C marketers absolutely love and often struggle to reach, I think Pinterest is going to have a big ad opportunity on their hands.

Note the promoted pin from Mad Hippie on the right
(apologies for very unappetizing recipes featured around it)

#9: Foursquare (and/or Swarm) will be bought, merge with someone, or shut down in 2015 (probably one of the first two).

I used to love Foursquare. I used the service multiple times every day, tracked where I went with it, ran into friends in foreign cities thanks to its notifications, and even used it to see where to go sometimes (in Brazil, for example, I found Foursquare's business location data far superior to Google Maps'). Then came the split from Swarm. Most of my friends who were using Foursquare stopped, and the few who continued did so less frequently. Swarm itself tried to compete with Yelp, but it looks like neither is doing well in the app rankings these days.

I feel a lot of empathy for Dennis and the Foursquare team. I can totally understand the appeal, from a development and product perspective, of splitting up the two apps to let each concentrate on what it's best at, and not dilute a single product with multiple primary use cases. Heck, we're trying to learn that lesson at Moz and refocus our products back on SEO, so I'm hardly one to criticize. That said, I think there's trouble brewing for the company and probably some pressure to sell while their location and check-in data, which is still hugely valuable, is robust enough and unique enough to command a high price.

#10: Amazon will not take considerable search share from Google, nor will mobile search harm Google's ad revenue substantively.

The "Google's-in-trouble" pundits are mostly talking about two trends that could hurt Google's revenue in the year ahead. First, mobile searchers being less valuable to Google because they don't click on ads as often and advertisers won't pay as much for them. And, second, Amazon becoming the destination for direct, commercial queries ahead of Google.

In 2015, I don't see either of these taking a toll on Google. I believe most of Amazon's impact as a direct navigation destination for e-commerce shoppers has already taken place and while Google would love to get those searchers back, that's already a lost battle (to the extent it was lost). I also don't think mobile is a big concern for Google -- in fact, I think they're pivoting it into an opportunity, and taking advantage of their ability to connect mobile to desktop through Google+/Android/Chrome. Desktop search may have flatter growth, and it may even decline 5-10% before reaching a state of equilibrium, but mobile is growing at such a huge clip that Google has plenty of time and even plentier eyeballs and clicks to figure out how to drive more revenue per searcher.


Sign up for The Moz Top 10, a semimonthly mailer updating you on the top ten hottest pieces of SEO news, tips, and rad links uncovered by the Moz team. Think of it as your exclusive digest of stuff you don't have time to hunt down but want to read!

By |January 6th, 2015|MOZ|0 Comments

Netflix will tell you the best TV to stream online video

Lg-8
Feed-fb

LAS VEGAS — Netflix is going to start telling people whether or not a particular TV is good for streaming.

Its new initiative, the Recommended TV program, was announced by Netflix's chief of streaming and partnerships, Greg Peters, at CES 2015. He said Netflix would point users to specific TVs based on the content they're looking for, meaning that if a user was looking for a series available in 4K resolution, Netflix would direct him to 4K models.

Peters didn't give much detail, but the idea seems to be for Netflix to assess whether a TV's connectivity and image-processing tech (upscaling, etc.) can make video from the Internet look its very best. (Presumably, ...

More about Netflix, Ces, Lg, Film, and Tv

By |January 5th, 2015|Apps and Software|0 Comments