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A day in ad fraud: Watch those fake clicks fly

Bot traffic is a plague.

Sometimes is astonishing to think about think about the impact it can have on the online ad industry.

Now, a new video created by Forensiq shows just how quickly just a single infected computer can add to the tally of worthless clicks.

Remember, this is just one computer over a 24-hour period.

Read more about this video from Business Insider and the Wall Street Journal.

By |October 14th, 2014|Advertising Technology|1 Comment

Private markets and the future of viewability metrics

Some are already hailing private marketplaces as the “future of programmatic,” while others are lamenting their growing pains. There are “big changes” coming in the world of ad fraud. This viewability stuff needs to get sorted out, because there are some killer metrics waiting.

Here are a few highlights from some of the industry news we came across this week.

  • The Private Future Of Programmatic (MediaPost) – Programmatic advertising is continuing to scoop big-time dollars across an ever-growing landscape, and those dollars are expected to nearly double in the next five years. Private exchanges are being called the future of programmatic strategy. This is because that type of buying more directly resembles the the direct buys of old. You know, the ones advertisers are used to and more comfortable with. But, that being said …
  • Behind The Velvet Rope: Private Marketplaces Suffer Growing Pains (AdExchanger) – Private marketplaces have yet to live up to their potential as a programmatic access-point to premium inventory, and are being held back by under-developed technology. However, growth (and maturation) is expected as interest is there on both the buy and sell sides. Even so, there are still quite a few hurdles that private marketplaces must clear before they're the go-to solution for anyone.
  • It's About to Get Harder to Claim Ignorance on Ad Fraud (AdAge) – IAB's EVP Mike Zaneis admits that it's likely that publishers are neither “knowingly” buying or selling fraudulent traffic, but that the shoulder-shrugging will no longer be tolerated and the “everyone else is doing it” excuse just isn't going to cut it anymore. “Big changes are coming,” he says.
  • Navigating brand safety and ad fraud threats in the programmatic landscape (iMedia Connection) – AnyClip Media CTO Alex Liverant writes about how transparency should be the target of the ad tech industry. Viewable impressions and limiting ad fraud need to be the key pieces of the industry's foundation: “Viewable ads, targeted to engaged consumers, should be the basis of this industry and its future.”
  • It's Time To Move Beyond Viewability: Better Metrics Await (AdExchanger) – Much of the discussion surrounding the “viewability” topic centers around setting the standard — how many pixels for how many seconds? — but this article takes a look at what new metrics can be used to to measure the old-school goals of reach and relevance. “The real work is to tie new metrics back to these,” says Grapeshot SVP of Product Marketing Chris Stark (no relation to Tony … probably).

By |October 10th, 2014|Advertising Technology|0 Comments

AdTech Is Alive and Well: I’ll Have the Full Stack, Please

Reading The Information's piece on Facebook's reported re-introduction of the Atlas ad-serving technology , I wondered – Does the market really need six or more full stack adtech solutions? Google is the undisputed leader in the field – it's spent…

By |October 10th, 2014|Advertising Technology|0 Comments

Viewability and growth major parts of ad tech scene right now

Major talking points this week involved the continued uncertainty around the transition to a viewability standard, the absolute certainty around the growth in spending expected across the programmatic landscape, and what publishers are going to have to be ready for to be successful going forward.

  • Outside Voices: Online Ad Viewability Not Ready For Prime-Time (Wall Street Journal) – Meanwhile, Ziff Davis CEO Vivek Shah wants to make sure that the steps to move to viewability aren't taken in haste. Click through to see what Shah sees as standing in the way of the transition to what he calls a “goal which we need to remember is without precedent in the entire media landscape.”
  • Programmatic: A Rising Tide (AdExchanger) – Find out what Rare Crowds' CEO Eric Picard sees as the future of programmatic, and what publishers will need to be prepared for going forward.
  • How Tribune Publishing is evolving its programmatic approach (Digiday) – New CEO Jack Griffin is pushing to increase the publishing company's dependence on digital revenue, and programmatic selling is a major part of that concept. Programmatic is leading to sales changes and even new business relationships for the publicly-traded newspaper company.

By |October 3rd, 2014|Advertising Technology|0 Comments

Experiment: We Removed a Major Website from Google Search, for Science!

Posted by Cyrus-Shepard

The folks at Groupon surprised us earlier this summer when they reported the results of an experiment that showed that up to 60% of direct traffic is organic.

In order to accomplish this, Groupon de-indexed their site, effectively removing themselves from Google search results. That's crazy talk!

Of course, we knew we had to try this ourselves.

We rolled up our sleeves and chose to de-index Followerwonk, both for its consistent Google traffic and its good analytics setup—that way we could properly measure everything. We were also confident we could quickly bring the site back into Google's results, which minimized the business risks.

(We discussed de-indexing our main site moz.com, but... no soup for you!)

We wanted to measure and test several things:

  1. How quickly will Google remove a site from its index?
  2. How much of our organic traffic is actually attributed as direct traffic?
  3. How quickly can you bring a site back into search results using the URL removal tool?

Here's what happened.

How to completely remove a site from Google

The fastest, simplest, and most direct method to completely remove an entire site from Google search results is by using the URL removal tool.

CAUTION: Removing any URLs from a search index is potentially very dangerous, and should be taken very seriously. Do not try this at home; you will not pass go, and will not collect $200!

After submitting the request, Followerwonk URLs started disappearing from Google search results in 2-3 hours.

The information needs to propagate across different data centers across the globe, so the effect can be delayed in areas. In fact, for the entire duration of the test, organic Google traffic continued to trickle in and never dropped to zero.

The effect on direct vs. organic traffic

In the Groupon experiment, they found that when they lost organic traffic, they actually lost a bunch of direct traffic as well. The Groupon conclusion was that a large amount of their direct traffic was actually organic—up to 60% on "long URLs".

At first glance, the overall amount of direct traffic to Followerwonk didn't change significantly, even when organic traffic dropped.

In fact, we could find no discrepancy in direct traffic outside the expected range.

I ran this by our contacts at Groupon, who said this wasn't totally unexpected. You see, in their experiment they saw the biggest drop in direct traffic on long URLs, defined as a URL that is at least as long enough to be in a subfolder, like http://followerwonk.com/bio/?q=content+marketer.

For Followerwonk, the vast majority of traffic goes to the homepage and a handful of other URLs. This means we didn't have a statistically significant sample size of long URLs to judge the effect. For the long URLs we were able to measure, the results were nebulous.

Conclusion: While we can't confirm the Groupon results with our outcome, we can't discount them either.

It's quite likely that a portion of your organic traffic is attributed as direct. This is because of different browsers, operating systems and user privacy settings can potentially block referral information from reaching your website.

Bringing your site back from death

After waiting 2 hours, we deleted the request. Within a few hours all traffic returned to normal. Whew!

Does Google need to recrawl the pages?

If the time period is short enough, and you used the URL removal tool, apparently not.

In the case of Followerwonk, Google removed over 300,000 URLs from its search results, and made them all reappear in mere hours. This suggests that the domain wasn't completely removed from Google's index, but only "masked" from appearing for a short period of time.

What about longer periods of de-indexation?

In both the Groupon and Followerwonk experiments, the sites were only de-indexed for a short period of time, and bounced back quickly.

We wanted to find out what would happen if you de-indexed a site for a longer period, like two and a half days?

I couldn't convince the team to remove any of our sites from Google search results for a few days, so I choose a smaller personal site that I often subject to merciless SEO experiments.

In this case, I de-indexed the site and didn't remove the request until three days later. Even with this longer period, all URLs returned within just a few hours of cancelling the URL removal request.

In the chart below, we revoked the URL removal request on Friday the 25th. The next two days were Saturday and Sunday, both lower traffic days.

Test #2: De-index a personal site for 3 days

Likely, the URLs were still in Google's index, so we didn't have to wait for them to be recrawled.

Here's another shot of organic traffic before and after the second experiment.

For longer removal periods, a few weeks for example, I speculate Google might drop these semi-permanently from the index and re-inclusion would comprise a much longer time period.

What we learned

  1. While a portion of your organic traffic may be attributed as direct (due to browsers, privacy settings, etc) in our case the effect on direct traffic was negligible.
  2. If you accidentally de-index your site using Google Webmaster Tools, in most cases you can quickly bring it back to life by deleting the request.
  3. Reinclusion happens quickly even after we removed a site for over 2 days. Longer than this, the result is unknown, and you could have problems getting all the pages of your site indexed again.

Further reading

Moz community member Adina Toma wrote an excellent YouMoz post on the re-inclusion process using the same technique, with some excellent tips for other, more extreme situations.

Big thanks to Peter Bray for volunteering Followerwonk for testing. You are a brave man!


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By |August 12th, 2014|MOZ|1 Comment